Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
3 - 0
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 1
QRO
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 1
PUE
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
TIJ
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |