Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
TOL
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
PAC
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
TIG
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
TIG
3 - 1
PUM
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
3 - 1
TIG
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TIG
3 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |