Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
PUM
5 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
PUM
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
LEO
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
AUR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |