Toluca vs Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2005 |
AME
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 2
DOR
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
JAG
0 - 1
PAC
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 0
JAG
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
JAG
2 - 0
PUM
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 2
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
JAG
0 - 2
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |