Toluca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
PAC
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PAC
2 - 0
EST
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 0
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
AME
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |