Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 5
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 2
CAZ
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |