Toluca vs Atlante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PUM
0 - 3
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 1
JAG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATS
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 1
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ATS
1 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
ATL
4 - 3
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PAC
3 - 2
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 2
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |