Liga MX Sub 18 - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Toluca U19 vs Pumas UNAM U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 4
TOL
51%
23%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEX
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MAZ
3 - 3
TOL
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SNT
0 - 0
TOL
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
4 - 0
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
1 - 1
LEO
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 1
PUM
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
2 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
3 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 4
PUM
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |