Liga MX Sub 18 - Apertura Normal Season Round 10

Toluca U19 vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 analysis

Toluca U19 Chivas Guadalajara U19
49 ELO 45
-17% Tilt -6.3%
4276º General ELO ranking 4303º
76º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
41.5%
Toluca U19
25.2%
Draw
33.3%
Chivas Guadalajara U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.3%
Win probability
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca U19
+3%
-5%
Chivas Guadalajara U19

ELO progression

Toluca U19
Chivas Guadalajara U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
TOL
Toluca U19
0 - 0
América U19
AME
33%
25%
42%
48 50 2 0
15 Sep. 2023
XOL
Tijuana U18
2 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
38%
25%
38%
49 44 5 -1
03 Sep. 2023
TOL
Toluca U19
1 - 0
Pachuca U19
PAC
44%
25%
32%
49 47 2 0
26 Aug. 2023
ATL
Atlas FC U19
3 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
55%
23%
23%
50 51 1 -1
18 Aug. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM U19
1 - 0
Toluca U19
TOL
28%
26%
46%
51 43 8 -1

Matches

Chivas Guadalajara U19
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2023
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
3 - 1
Mazatlán U19
MAZ
54%
23%
23%
46 41 5 0
23 Sep. 2023
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1 - 1
Pachuca U19
PAC
43%
24%
33%
46 47 1 0
16 Sep. 2023
AME
América U19
2 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara U19
GUA
58%
21%
21%
46 50 4 0
11 Sep. 2023
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1 - 1
Tijuana U18
XOL
51%
23%
26%
46 44 2 0
07 Sep. 2023
SNT
Santos Laguna U19
1 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara U19
GUA
49%
22%
29%
47 46 1 -1