Tolosa CF vs Zarautz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CDU
0 - 0
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 0
SDA
23%
28%
49%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
ZAL
15%
24%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
SNT
1 - 0
TOL
56%
26%
19%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
ARE
34%
30%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Zarautz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 0
UDS
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
ZAR
72%
18%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
ZAR
1 - 0
GER
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +3 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |