Tolosa CF vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
SFC
1 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 3
POR
16%
24%
60%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 2
TOL
43%
26%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 2
UPV
64%
22%
14%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 2
TOL
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GER
4 - 2
REA
64%
23%
13%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ARE
1 - 3
GER
29%
30%
41%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GER
0 - 0
ALA
36%
30%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LON
0 - 2
GER
43%
28%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
GER
1 - 1
SDA
40%
30%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |