Tolosa CF vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
LON
4 - 1
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
SOD
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 2
TOL
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
LON
44%
26%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 2
AUR
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
BFC
2 - 0
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ARI
4 - 2
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
IKE
1 - 1
ARI
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 2
TOL
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |