Tölö vs Varbergs GIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
57.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
11º
38
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tölö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HIT
4 - 0
TIF
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TIF
0 - 0
OBK
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TIF
0 - 7
AST
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FRO
4 - 2
TIF
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAV
6 - 2
TIF
77%
13%
9%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Varbergs GIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 1
VAR
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 2
HIT
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AST
0 - 2
VAR
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
VAR
88%
10%
2%
|
25 | 70 | 45 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HFF
4 - 1
VAR
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |