TOGB vs VUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RKA
1 - 1
TOG
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TOG
1 - 1
NIE
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LEO
3 - 1
TOG
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TOG
5 - 0
JHR
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALP
1 - 1
TOG
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SCN
2 - 4
VUC
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VUC
1 - 0
RKA
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SJC
0 - 0
VUC
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VUC
0 - 0
NIE
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 2
VUC
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |