TOGB vs Neptunus-Schiebroek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
TOG
0 - 1
HVV
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
JHR
1 - 2
TOG
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SJC
2 - 1
TOG
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TOG
0 - 0
ALP
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Neptunus-Schiebroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SCN
4 - 1
RKA
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DEL
2 - 0
SCN
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SCN
0 - 6
SJC
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
HVV
3 - 2
SCN
23%
23%
53%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SCN
2 - 3
NIE
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |