TOGB vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TOG
0 - 2
ALP
26%
20%
54%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VVE
2 - 1
TOG
29%
22%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOG
2 - 2
RKA
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HBS
1 - 2
TOG
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOG
2 - 1
TAC
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RKV
0 - 0
PUR
56%
24%
21%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PUR
0 - 2
SJC
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SDO
3 - 4
PUR
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PUR
1 - 1
BEQ
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HBS
1 - 1
PUR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |