TOGB vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
BLA
3 - 3
TOG
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TOG
2 - 1
FCS
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
OJC
2 - 1
TOG
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TOG
5 - 0
RIJ
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SMI
1 - 2
TOG
38%
24%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
GEM
4 - 1
WIT
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
UDI
3 - 3
GEM
11%
16%
74%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
GEM
0 - 0
HEL
28%
23%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
VEN
3 - 5
GEM
16%
18%
66%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
AWC
1 - 3
GEM
9%
15%
76%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |