TOGB vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
3 - 3
MEE
32%
22%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
2 - 2
FCB
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOG
6 - 0
ROA
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 1
TOG
23%
21%
55%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RKS
2 - 1
TOG
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
IFC
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VOC
0 - 2
BAR
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAR
82%
14%
5%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 1
LON
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
HAL
1 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |