Toen FS vs Vilamarin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 0
TOE
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TOE
1 - 1
BMI
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 2
TOE
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TOE
2 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PSI
1 - 1
TOE
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
SOU
57%
20%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MER
2 - 3
VIL
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
OUR
47%
21%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BUB
1 - 7
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 4
VIL
29%
20%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |