Toen FS vs Rocas CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 0
TOE
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TOE
3 - 0
CEN
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
TOE
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TOE
0 - 2
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOE
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rocas CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 3
COL
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ROC
5 - 3
RAL
36%
23%
42%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 1
ROC
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 2
CEN
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
ROC
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |