Todi Calcio vs Zagarolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
TOD
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TOD
0 - 1
PIE
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
TOD
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
TOD
1 - 1
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
TOD
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zagarolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 3
ORV
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 0
ZAG
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ZAG
0 - 3
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ZAG
0 - 1
ASD
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
ZAG
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |