Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+94%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
11º
1º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOD
4 - 0
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WEF
3 - 1
TOD
5%
11%
85%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
0 - 3
TOD
9%
13%
78%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOD
5 - 1
VFR
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 4
TOD
11%
15%
74%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ITK
3 - 0
LUB
51%
20%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
1 - 4
PRR
60%
18%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EIC
2 - 1
LUB
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
3 - 2
UNI
13%
16%
70%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 3
LUB
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |