Tochigi vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SAG
3 - 2
TOC
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 2
KAT
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
HON
2 - 1
TOC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
TOC
0 - 1
YOK
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MIO
2 - 2
TOC
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GIR
3 - 2
JEF
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RKU
2 - 1
GIR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GIR
0 - 3
SON
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
SAG
0 - 0
GIR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
GIR
0 - 2
BLA
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |