Tocantins vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.2%
70.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
TOC
8%
20%
72%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
TOC
0 - 4
ARA
28%
24%
49%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
GUR
6 - 0
TOC
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
34%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
TOC
0 - 1
TMI
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 2
TOC
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
TOC
2 - 1
KEC
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
TOC
2 - 2
ARA
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
ARA
2 - 1
TOC
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
TOC
1 - 0
CEC
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |