Tocantins vs Guaraí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 0
TOC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 0
PAR
33%
24%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
3 - 1
TOC
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 2
PAL
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
TOC
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
PAL
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
GUA
58%
20%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUR
37%
23%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |