Tocantins vs Araguaína analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 1
TOC
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOC
4 - 3
GUA
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 2
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 3
TOC
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
TOC
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 1
TOC
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 1
ARA
63%
21%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARA
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 3
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |