Tocantinópolis vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 2
TOC
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
6 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
3 - 0
TUP
17%
25%
59%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ITU
3 - 0
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 2
GUR
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 2
CRI
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
REC
2 - 2
TOC
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MOT
1 - 1
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |