Copa Verde Last 16
Global 3-5
Tocantinópolis vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
59.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 1
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
TOC
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 1
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
TOC
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 0
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 0
LUV
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 1
SIN
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
CEA
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
LUV
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 2
AMF
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |