Tocantinópolis vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
69%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
TOC
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 0
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TOC
3 - 0
PAL
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
INT
2 - 2
TOC
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 1
ARA
32%
26%
42%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 2
ANA
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
APA
4 - 2
ANA
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 2
VIL
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 3
ANA
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |