Tocantinópolis vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
TOC
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
TOC
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
JCA
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
3 - 2
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 0
IMP
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 2
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 0
4DE
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
4 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
4DE
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |