Tobol Kurgan vs Volga Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
NUF
1 - 1
TOB
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
TOB
0 - 0
NOS
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
TOB
1 - 1
GAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2004 |
LAD
0 - 0
TOB
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
AKT
0 - 0
TOB
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
VNN
2 - 0
ENE
39%
28%
34%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
VNN
2 - 2
NUF
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2004 |
NOS
4 - 2
VNN
72%
19%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
GAZ
1 - 0
VNN
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 1
VNN
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |