Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
8º
28
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 81.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
TOB
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
VKP
3 - 0
TOB
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 0
ORD
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
VKP
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
TOB
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 2
KAI
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 1
ZHE
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ZHE
0 - 1
MAQ
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OKZ
2 - 1
ZHE
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 1
KYZ
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |