NI Third Division Round 14

Tobermore United vs Lurgan Celtic analysis

Tobermore United Lurgan Celtic
53 ELO 48
2% Tilt 5.1%
8118º General ELO ranking 30793º
40º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
55.3%
Tobermore United
22.8%
Draw
21.9%
Lurgan Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
Tobermore United
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.9%
Win probability
Lurgan Celtic
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Tobermore United
Lurgan Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tobermore United
Tobermore United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2005
TOB
Tobermore United
1 - 3
Wakehurst
WAK
54%
24%
22%
54 51 3 0
12 Feb. 2005
TOB
Tobermore United
2 - 1
Brantwood
BFC
67%
19%
14%
54 45 9 0
05 Feb. 2005
BAN
Banbridge Town
2 - 1
Tobermore United
TOB
46%
24%
30%
55 52 3 -1
29 Jan. 2005
PSN
PSNI
0 - 3
Tobermore United
TOB
46%
24%
30%
53 51 2 +2
22 Jan. 2005
TOB
Tobermore United
1 - 0
Annagh United
AUN
73%
16%
11%
53 37 16 0

Matches

Lurgan Celtic
Lurgan Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2005
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
0 - 1
PSNI
PSN
47%
23%
30%
49 50 1 0
29 Jan. 2005
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
1 - 1
Queens University Belfast
QUB
66%
19%
16%
49 41 8 0
22 Jan. 2005
BFC
Brantwood
0 - 4
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
48%
23%
29%
48 47 1 +1
15 Jan. 2005
POR
Portstewart
1 - 1
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
39%
25%
37%
48 46 2 0
27 Dec. 2004
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
2 - 1
Banbridge Town
BAN
41%
24%
35%
47 51 4 +1