Northern Ireland Second Division Round 5

Tobermore United vs Crusaders analysis

Tobermore United Crusaders
53 ELO 58
5.1% Tilt 7.6%
8222º General ELO ranking 1589º
41º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Tobermore United
25.6%
Draw
27.3%
Crusaders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Tobermore United
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
Crusaders
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tobermore United
+1%
-17%
Crusaders

ELO progression

Tobermore United
Crusaders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tobermore United
Tobermore United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2005
DON
Donegal Celtic
5 - 1
Tobermore United
TOB
51%
24%
25%
55 58 3 0
29 Oct. 2005
TOB
Tobermore United
3 - 1
Carrick Rangers
CAR
60%
21%
18%
55 48 7 0
14 Oct. 2005
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
2 - 2
Tobermore United
TOB
42%
26%
32%
54 52 2 +1
30 Apr. 2005
TOB
Tobermore United
2 - 1
PSNI
PSN
63%
21%
16%
54 47 7 0
26 Apr. 2005
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Tobermore United
TOB
36%
25%
39%
55 48 7 -1

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2005
DUN
Dundela
2 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
43%
26%
30%
58 53 5 0
29 Oct. 2005
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 1
Ballymoney United
BMF
65%
21%
14%
58 48 10 0
15 Oct. 2005
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
0 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
54%
24%
22%
57 59 2 +1
07 Oct. 2005
CRU
Crusaders
3 - 1
Bangor
BAN
48%
26%
26%
56 56 0 +1
24 Sep. 2005
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
1 - 3
Crusaders
CRU
44%
28%
28%
55 53 2 +1