Tlemcen vs USM El Harrach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 0
TLE
38%
30%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
TLE
2 - 3
ALG
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHL
3 - 0
TLE
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TLE
1 - 0
SET
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HUS
2 - 1
TLE
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
USM El Harrach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
BEL
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
EUL
1 - 0
HAR
41%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
KHR
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 2
BEJ
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SET
3 - 2
HAR
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |