Tlemcen vs CR Méchria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
15º
15º
51
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TIA
1 - 0
TLE
57%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TLE
1 - 0
ESM
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
MCS
0 - 0
TLE
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TLE
2 - 2
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
TLE
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CR Méchria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRM
0 - 1
JSB
28%
22%
50%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CRM
1 - 0
HUS
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
ESM
1 - 0
CRM
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CRM
1 - 0
CRB
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CRM
0 - 0
TIA
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |