Bzenec vs Baťov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
8º
4º
4
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 38 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 32 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 30 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 27 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 26 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 21 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 20 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 18 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 17 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 14 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 9 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bzenec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
BZE
2 - 2
KOZ
38%
24%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
NSO
1 - 3
BZE
38%
23%
40%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BZE
3 - 2
TJS
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FSB
5 - 0
BZE
16%
16%
68%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -3 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
NSO
5 - 1
BZE
23%
21%
56%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Baťov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 1
NSO
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
TJS
3 - 2
BAT
50%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
BAT
0 - 2
UHE
23%
24%
54%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STE
4 - 3
BAT
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
BAT
2 - 1
HFK
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |