Polepy vs Litvínov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polepy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
SRL
4 - 2
TJP
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TJP
1 - 4
VIK
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
UCK
1 - 3
TJP
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TJP
1 - 1
ADM
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TJP
5 - 0
FRD
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Litvínov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
LIT
2 - 0
FRD
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 1
LIT
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LIT
2 - 1
MET
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SKK
1 - 0
LIT
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIT
1 - 3
SOK
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |