Tiverton Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
TIV
1 - 2
BRI
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 1
TIV
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
SHO
2 - 1
TIV
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TIV
2 - 1
LAR
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TIV
2 - 1
FLE
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
CIN
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 4
MER
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 0
BAS
68%
19%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BRI
4 - 0
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RED
4 - 0
BAS
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |