Tilbury vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
5 - 0
TIL
70%
19%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 2
AVE
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
RED
3 - 0
TIL
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 2
BRE
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 2
BUR
30%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 3
POT
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
ARL
1 - 3
WAR
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
WAR
5 - 2
ILF
79%
13%
7%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
WAR
4 - 1
WHI
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 5
WAR
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |