Tilbury vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SOH
1 - 4
TIL
38%
23%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TIL
1 - 0
THA
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TIL
0 - 1
YEL
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 2
TIL
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
6 - 1
TIL
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
THU
0 - 5
BRA
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
THU
1 - 3
DAG
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
THU
0 - 2
HOR
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 2
THU
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |