Tilbury vs Romford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
TIL
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
TIL
2 - 1
CHE
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 2
TIL
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
TIL
1 - 0
HAR
65%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TIL
1 - 1
BRE
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Romford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 2
GRA
21%
24%
56%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ROM
5 - 2
YEL
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 1
ROM
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SOH
1 - 1
ROM
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |