Tilbury vs Northwood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TIL
1 - 1
WAL
66%
20%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 2
TIL
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TIL
0 - 1
RED
36%
27%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 3
TIL
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ILF
1 - 0
TIL
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 0
RED
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
WAL
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 0
NOR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
ENF
0 - 1
NOR
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |