Tilbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
TIL
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 2
TIL
45%
23%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 1
AVE
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NEE
5 - 3
TIL
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
TIL
3 - 0
HEY
17%
21%
61%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 1
SOH
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 1
HEY
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 1
AVE
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 1
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 0
YEL
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |