Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 4
HOR
12%
20%
68%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 0
TIL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
2 - 0
TIL
68%
18%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 1
TIL
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 0
AVE
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
YEL
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 2
HAR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
2 - 0
TIL
68%
18%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
3 - 0
BUR
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 1
YEL
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |