Tilbury vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
AVE
3 - 2
TIL
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BER
4 - 0
TIL
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
0 - 2
CHM
9%
16%
76%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
1 - 1
WEL
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
TIL
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
HAP
2 - 4
AFD
13%
16%
72%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
STN
4 - 2
AFD
31%
24%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 1
AFD
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AFD
2 - 2
BER
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFD
1 - 0
YEL
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |