Tikvesh vs Sileks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
47
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
TIK
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 1
MAK
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAK
3 - 0
TIK
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 0
TIK
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
FCS
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
SIL
18%
27%
55%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |