Tikvesh vs Sileks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
47
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
TIK
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TIK
3 - 0
RAB
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
TIK
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 0
POB
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
4 - 2
TIK
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 2
FCS
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AKP
3 - 0
SIL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 0
SIL
16%
27%
57%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
SHK
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |