Tikves vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 1
TIK
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SIL
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
TIK
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAK
3 - 0
TIK
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 6
SHK
12%
23%
65%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 1
FKS
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 1
RAB
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |