Liga MX Clausura Qualifying Stage Round 14

Tijuana vs Toluca analysis

Tijuana Toluca
82 ELO 84
-9.5% Tilt -5%
622º General ELO ranking 331º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.9%
Tijuana
27.3%
Draw
34.8%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
Tijuana
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
Toluca
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tijuana
-2%
+20%
Toluca

ELO progression

Tijuana
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2014
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
37%
27%
37%
81 84 3 0
29 Mar. 2014
QRO
Querétaro
2 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
31%
28%
41%
81 75 6 0
22 Mar. 2014
TIJ
Tijuana
3 - 1
Puebla
PUE
54%
25%
21%
81 74 7 0
19 Mar. 2014
TIJ
Tijuana
4 - 2
LA Galaxy
GAL
42%
27%
32%
81 80 1 0
16 Mar. 2014
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
50%
26%
25%
81 83 2 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2014
LDA
LD Alajuelense
0 - 1
Toluca
TOL
33%
27%
40%
84 76 8 0
30 Mar. 2014
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
54%
24%
21%
84 84 0 0
24 Mar. 2014
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
27%
27%
47%
84 72 12 0
20 Mar. 2014
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
San Jose Earthquakes
SJE
63%
21%
16%
84 78 6 0
15 Mar. 2014
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 2
Toluca
TOL
29%
27%
44%
84 75 9 0